CIA Analysts Skeptical Regarding March to War
By Philip Giraldi
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Global Research, February 4, 2012
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The American Conservative - 2011-12-19
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Americans should be concerned about
what is happening in Syria, if only because it threatens to become
another undeclared war like Libya but much, much worse. Calls for regime
change have come from Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who several
weeks ago predicted a civil war.
That is indeed likely if the largely secular and nationalist regime of Bashar al-Assad falls, pitting Sunni against Shia against Alawite. Indigenous Christians will be caught in the meat grinder. Ironically, many of the Christians in Damascus are Iraqis who experienced the last round of liberation in their own country and had to flee for their lives.
NATO is already clandestinely engaged
in the Syrian conflict, with Turkey taking the lead as U.S. proxy.
Ankara’s foreign minister, Ahmet Davitoglu, has openly admitted that his
country is prepared to invade as soon as there is agreement among the
Western allies to do so. The intervention would be based on humanitarian
principles, to defend the civilian population based on the
“responsibility to protect” doctrine that was invoked to justify Libya.
Turkish sources suggest that intervention would start with creation of a
buffer zone along the Turkish-Syrian border and then be expanded.
Aleppo, Syria’s largest and most cosmopolitan city, would be the crown
jewel targeted by liberation forces.
Unmarked NATO warplanes are arriving at
Turkish military bases close to Iskenderum on the Syrian border,
delivering weapons from the late Muammar Gaddafi’s arsenals as well as
volunteers from the Libyan Transitional National Council who are
experienced in pitting local volunteers against trained soldiers, a
skill they acquired confronting Gaddafi’s army. Iskenderum is also the
seat of the Free Syrian Army, the armed wing of the Syrian National
Council. French and British special forces trainers are on the ground,
assisting the Syrian rebels while the CIA and U.S. Spec Ops are
providing communications equipment and intelligence to assist the rebel
cause, enabling the fighters to avoid concentrations of Syrian soldiers.
CIA
analysts are skeptical regarding the march to war. The frequently cited
United Nations report that more than 3,500 civilians have been killed
by Assad’s soldiers is based largely on rebel sources and is
uncorroborated. The Agency has refused to sign off on the claims.
Likewise, accounts of mass defections from the Syrian Army and pitched
battles between deserters and loyal soldiers appear to be a fabrication,
with few defections being confirmed independently. Syrian government
claims that it is being assaulted by rebels who are armed, trained, and
financed by foreign governments are more true than false.
In the United States, many friends of
Israel are on the Assad regime-change bandwagon, believing that a
weakened Syria, divided by civil war, will present no threat to Tel
Aviv. But they should think again, as these developments have a way of
turning on their head. The best organized and funded opposition
political movement in Syria is the Muslim Brotherhood.
Philip Giraldi, a former CIA officer, is executive director of the Council for the National Interest.
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