By Dr. Muzaffar Iqbal,
Syria is bleeding; Afghanistan is in convulsions; Pakistan is facing 
internal collapse through mismanagement, corruption, random violence, 
and insurgency in Balochistan. Most of the Arab world is under tight 
control of dictators. Turkey is being chipped away, bit by bit, through 
sale of its air and water, natural resources and bandwidths-even land is
 now available for grab. The Muslim West (Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia) is 
in perpetual state of oppression. Iran has been isolated by the Western 
powers, possibly as the next locale of aggression, and its economy is 
deteriorating, though not collapsing, despite sanctions. Bangladesh, the
 land of corruption and internal strife, remains perpetually on the 
brink of collapse. Indonesia and Malaysia have a glimmer of hope but 
underneath the smooth surface, there are huge tensions. This is the 
state of the Muslim world fourteen hundred and thirty- three years after
 the Hijra of the noble Messenger from his native Makka to Madina where 
he established the first Islamic state.
Terrible as it is, the current state of the Muslim world needs to be 
placed within a context. That context is the year 2012, which 
corresponds to the year 1433 after the Hijra, the year of formation of 
the first Muslim state. As opposed to the unsubstantiated popular 
belief, idealism, and nostalgia, that first Islamic state in Madina was 
not without its own problems, internal strife, deep divisions and moral 
issues. No human state has ever been. There were hypocrites who plotted 
against the state. They even constructed a masjid in the ninth year of 
Hijra, that is, almost a year before the demise of the Prophet, upon him
 blessings and peace, which is mentioned in the Qur’an as a mosque 
constructed for dividing the believers. In the same year, there was even
 a plan to kill the Prophet Muhammad, blessed is his name forever, on 
his way back from the Tabuk expedition. It was in that same—sometimes 
idealized state—that except for twelve persons, the entire congregation 
left the Prophet standing by himself while he was delivering the Friday 
sermon because of the arrival of a trading caravan—an event mentioned in
 Q 62:11.
This shows that at no point in their history, Muslims have lived in 
any ideal society, for it is impossible to have a society free of 
strife; such is the human condition. We are not angels and there are all
 kinds of disruptive forces in action against us, both from within us 
and externally. The question of context, therefore, has to be 
established in real time, against the background of Muslim history in a 
real sense.
Viewed in context, the most important aspect of the present state of 
the Muslim world is its general direction: is it going upward or 
downward? The immediate knee-jerk reaction would be to say: it is going 
downward and all the bloodshed and violence will apparently justify it. 
But when seen in a broader context, the situation is the inverse. But 
before we investigate that, let us make a brief note of the current 
situation of the West in the same general way in which the question has 
been initially framed.
The system which has produced the contemporary Western world is no 
better than the contemporary state of the Muslim world: the so-called 
liberal democracy is collapsing from within. The dirty tricks of the 
ruling party during the last general elections have just emerged; the 
American politics has reached a level where the coming elections are 
already being dubbed as the most expensive elections in American 
history; the Eurozone is in deep crisis stemming from mismanagement and 
corruption, and the recent manhandling of the Occupy Wall Street rage 
has once again drowned the voices of the downtrodden. In short, the 
moral, financial, and political corruption in the West is systematic, 
institutionalized and beyond any repair.
This neither justifies the state of the Muslim world nor is this 
context provided for that purpose; it is simply to state some basic 
facts for the sake of those who idealized the state of the Western world
 in order to vilify that of the Muslim world.
To return to the main question: is the Muslim world disintegrating 
through internal strife, violence, corruption, mismanagement and 
depravity of its rulers or is the present state an indication of a great
 awakening which will produce better societies in many Muslim countries?
 Taking the case of the Arab awakening, one can hope that it marks the 
end of a certain era of the post-colonial phase of improvement of these 
societies. There are no quick fixes to the ingrained fault lines, but 
the awakening of Arabs masses is a hopeful sign of the first major 
change since the nineteenth century. This awakening is still partial and
 is geographically limited, but it has potential which did not exist 
before.
The case of Pakistan is also potentially that of emergence of a new 
era through a massive reordering of its political map in the next 
decade. Afghanistan, likewise, is poised to emerge from three decades of
 war and destruction after the Americans depart, which they will sooner 
than later. Likewise, Iranian leadership is tactfully and actively 
engaged with a situation emerging from the post-Revolution internal 
strife and discord that is partially the result of failure of the 
leadership and partly that of external plots against it.
Iran stands at the crossroads and whatever happens there during the 
next two years may very well have a critical role in shaping the entire 
region bordering it. In this response, the results of Parliamentary 
elections to be held today (March 2, 2012) will be of great importance. 
The next milestone is the Presidential election scheduled for June 2013.
 Today’s elections would have a direct effect on the Presidential 
elections and both will together shape the new political map of Iran.
Hence, the answer to the critical question noted above is a clear 
yes: there are great changes on the horizon and the present strife is 
not death pangs of a dying polity but the growing pains of a new 
political order.
 
 
 
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