“The political scene in Egypt nowadays is pretty tense and rather precarious”
Dr. Ashraf Ezzat
As June 30, the predetermined date for Egypt’s supreme
council of armed forces(SCAF) to hand over power to an elected civilian
government, is drawing nearer, all the major players in post-Mubarak
transitional period are ready to throw in their last card … including
Israel.
Some of the key players, like the Muslim Brotherhood, have even threatened to resort to violence if things don’t come their way.
The political scene in Egypt nowadays is pretty tense and rather
precarious; SCAF is reluctant to cede power; Muslim Brotherhood (MB) is
desperately trying to grab the seat of presidency especially that the
parliament it controlled 75% of its seats has been legally disbanded by
the supreme constitutional court. And forces from the old regime,
supporting the presidential candidate, Mr. Ahmed Shafik are eyeing to
catch what they consider the last train to the presidential palace.
Meanwhile the true revolutionaries and most of the secular political
groups – leftists and liberals- are left behind, unorganized and
unaccounted for. You can’t even find them anymore in Tahrir square. I
know what’s on your mind, but don’t get fooled by the thousands packing
Tahrir you see in the reports of the Mainstream media; they are but
hordes of MB followers who are instructed, and sometimes paid for, to
pose for the media cameras as revolutionaries, whereas they only sing
and dance for the MB presidential candidate, Mohamed Morsi.
Last Sunday, June 17, the polls of the run-off presidential elections
closed after two days of voting, that has been closely monitored by
local and international human rights groups.
And
guess what, yes, that’s right …, the first post Mubarak presidential
elections have been fair and square. And the initial tallies indicate
that the race between Mohamed Morsi, the MB candidate and Ahmed Shafik, Mubarak’s last prime minister has been so close that the next president will probably win by 51% of the total votes.
The whole vote, which lasted for two successive days, in more than
12000 major polling stations all over Egypt was as democratic and
transparent as that of the late French presidential elections.
But what does that mean? It says one thing as clear as the sky of
Egypt; the revolution managed to put an end to decades of rigged
elections. Egyptians won’t be silent or apathetic ever again, especially
when it comes to choosing the upcoming president.
Handing over power from SCAF to SCAF
That said, SCAF, having no control over the result of the
presidential vote, has surprised everybody just hours before the polls
were closed with a preemptive act; a new constitutional annex.
In the declaration, SCAF has transferred, or usurped to be exact,
some of the top powers reserved for the president to the ruling military
junta.
According to the amendments, the upcoming president will not be the
commander in chief; he won’t be able to declare war, won’t have
oversight over the military budget or armament, while the military will
retain the legislative authorities until a new parliament is elected and
will have the final say in security matters especially at times of
turmoil and riots. In short, the constitutional annex is transferring
power from SCAF to SCAF.
The week before the Egyptian runoff elections, the Israeli defense forces (IDF) has issued emergency call up orders to
six reserve battalions in light of new dangers on the Egyptian borders
and the repeated attacks that were allegedly launched against Israel
from the Sinai Peninsula. And the Knesset has given the IDF permission
to summon a further 16 reserve battalions if necessary.
And in response, the Egyptian second army has been put on high alert. A military source
added that lots of armored vehicles and tanks have been pushed to the
borders with Israel and vital targets have been secured like the Suez
Canal waterway.
Interestingly, two days after the closing of the electoral polls, Egyptian security forces seized a huge arms shipment smuggled
from Libya and other countries and allegedly destined to the Gaza Strip
or Sinai. Confiscated in the bust are 40 surface-to-surface missiles, a
launching pad, 17 RPG rockers, and 120mm mortar shell launch-pad, seven
assault rifles, surveillance equipment and over 10,000 rounds.
On Thursday, and as the former President Mubarak lies in a military hospital amid conflicting reports of his clinical death, the
high electoral commission is due to declare the winner of the
presidential run-off elections amid deep polarization, frustration over
the failure to yet draft the new constitution and anger over dissolving
the body of an elected parliament.
Unless all political parties heed the call for national
reconciliation and unity, the once probable conflict between the
military and the Muslim Brotherhood will now seem inevitable. And should
that scenario take place, it won’t be long before the situation along
the borders with Israel gets more volatile
http://ashraf62.wordpress.com/2012/06/20/egypt-braces-for-confrontation-with-military-and-israel-calls-up-reserves/
3 Comments
Now, Who might that be???? Its just like the Saudi royalty are really Jewish as set up by the Brits after WW I in order for Britain to control the oil.
Is the Muslim Brotherhood really Jewish black ops from Israel?
After the death of the founder of the MB in 1949 if I am not wrong, Hassan Al Bannah, MB took only wrong decisions, geo-strategically and politically, and islamically as well. Israel has full control on the egyptian secret agencies and a good part of the army, all securities apparatus, Egyptian are aware of this, and the US and the British (I mean the zionist jews of these 2 countries) have too much influence on the MB, through Saudia Arabia, but also UAE and Qatar, these are the dirty israelis hands on the Muslim countries.
Marechal Tantawi and Israel are now preparing for a pre-staged war were Egypt will loose and they will drag into the MB, who will be blamed as the responsible or the scape goat, Egypt will be dislocated in 3 pieces. The inexperience and high level infiltration of the MB can lead to a catastrophe or if the people is still awake and conscious as some of the MB at the basis are saying what I am saying to you, it can lead to an Israeli defeat if they invade the Sinai up to Nile river.
Now the MB is cut from his popular basis and time will tell who is right or wrong.